Quote:
Originally Posted by Pressing-On
McCain Shredding Obama's Lead
Friday, October 31, 2008 8:04 AM
Iraq isn't the only place where the surge seems to be working. John McCain's gains over the last five days are remaking the political landscape as Election Day approaches.
The double-digit leads Barack Obama held last week have evaporated, as all three of the top tracking polls (the most current and reliable measurements out there) show McCain hot on Obama's heels.
Zogby had Obama ahead by 12 points last week now it's down to 4. His margin in the Rasmussen poll has dropped from 8 points to 3 in the last few days. Gallup shows only a 2-point difference.
http://www.newsmax.com/morris/polls_...31/146232.html
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I'm sure the folks at Newsmax are hoping they're right and with the accuracy of polling, it still's an outside possibility it'll be that close. That said, Gallup has Obama widening his lead today in all three of their polls after seeing some tightening early in the week.
http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx Also the RCP averages(which have been very accurate in the past) in the key battleground states like PA, VA, and CO that McCain HAS to win are all way out of the margin of error for Obama.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...lls/index.html
It's not certain yet, but I expect to the polling will show a bump of at least two or three points for Obama after the infomercial the other night. Thirty minutes of unchallenged air time on major networks is a very hard thing for McCain to defend.
John McCain lost this election by losing Virginia, Colorado and Pennsylvania. Ferd has a saying that applies here, "It's church", IMO. McCain simply lost too much ground in September after the economic mess and with the pick of Palin.