Quote:
Originally Posted by rgcraig
What are you basing this on?
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I said that wrong. I think Obama will have 53% of the popular vote so that will leave McCain with somewhere around 46% with the rest to third parties. or some such thats 7%
I base this first on history then on the state match ups.... but I weight towards history. History says it wont be close.
the only thing keeping this close is it seems there is a general unease with Obama the man. and honestly I am not factoring that in much.
History says Obama should win almost 400 electoral votes and have a 10 point lead in the electoral vote.