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Old 11-21-2008, 09:49 AM
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Ferd Ferd is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
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Re: Dow drops to 5 year low

Quote:
Originally Posted by Digging4Truth View Post
We hobbled from 2000 to here thanks to a housing bubble caused by slack lending practices. That did get us from there to here but it is now an additional complication to an already bad problem.

When there is a big hole in the side of the boat the fact that the water has been this high before is not the issue. The issue is that there is a rush coming in that we cannot overcome and the fact that we are sinking isn't changed by statistics of how close we have come before. We have been here before but the problem has never been what it is now.

High water marks of the past are nice info when everything is the same. We are entering a near perfect storm and no past experience we have been through is going to relate to where we are now.
I think you might have taken me wrong. I wasnt saying this is like 2000. (I said most agree that this is worse. So the 2000 recession provides some benchmarks. if 2000 lost 43% of the NYSE value, then this time it should be worse, no?

I do think there is a chance we can come out of this by 2010 and be ok. I dont think it is a perfect storm....yet.... But with the dems in charge of everything, we have the potential to slide hard into a real serious depression.

I have heard the other "D" word used this week. Deflation. that is really really bad.
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