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10-23-2020, 01:43 PM
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Registered Member
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Join Date: Jan 2019
Posts: 2,194
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Re: I'll be the first to say it
Then you have this:
https://spectator.org/helmut-norpoth...-win-november/
Quote:
Professor Norpoth just as confidently predicts that Trump will trounce Joe Biden in November. Specifically, he gives the president a 91 percent chance of winning the election with an unambiguous 362-176 Electoral College margin. If this seems implausible, considering the avalanche of polls that portend Trump’s imminent political demise, it will seem less so when Norpoth’s track record is taken into account. The 2016 election was by no means his first foray into political projections. His model has correctly predicted five of the last six presidential elections, and projected the correct result in all but two of the last 27 contests when pre-election data were fed into his “Primary model.”
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The article is worth a read.
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10-23-2020, 09:57 PM
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Registered Member
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Join Date: Sep 2017
Posts: 2,994
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Re: I'll be the first to say it
I may be wrong. When it comes to predicting elections I have a poor track record. But I believe Trump is gonna win BIGLY.
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10-26-2020, 10:58 PM
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J.esus i.s t.he o.ne God (463)
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Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 2,806
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Re: I'll be the first to say it
Quote:
Originally Posted by diakonos
Quote:
Originally Posted by Originalist
Were our Founding Father anarchists?
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Yes.
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Not according to Dictionary.com.
Quote:
- a state of society without government or law.
- political and social disorder due to the absence of governmental control:
- anarchism (def. 1).
- lack of obedience to an authority; insubordination:
- confusion and disorder:
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The framers never intended us to be lawless, they were rebelling against the concept of an overreaching government that refused to represent the people being taxed by it. They never sought to abolish government, merely to rein it in. In the end, the only means to do that was to attain independence and create a new government.
That was their motivation in fighting the war of independence, not the idea of abolishing all forms of governance.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Originalist
Sometimes hidden dangers spring on us suddenly. Those are out of our control. But when one can see the danger, and then refuses to arrest , all in the name of "God is in control", they are forfeiting God given, preventive opportunities.
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10-30-2020, 09:06 AM
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Registered Member
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Join Date: Jan 2019
Posts: 2,194
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Re: I'll be the first to say it
Yesterday my wife saw that the owner of a small shop had a trump sticker. They began to talk and she found out that the owner hadn’t ever voted, in 50 years. However in this elections she, the owner, decided to pay attention and said that people have to be crazy to vote for Biden, and that she is voting ALL republicans in the ballot
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11-05-2020, 03:41 AM
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Registered Member
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Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 10,075
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Re: I'll be the first to say it
There is a good chance that my prediction is coming to pass.
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11-05-2020, 07:23 PM
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Registered Member
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Join Date: Jan 2019
Posts: 2,194
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Re: I'll be the first to say it
At this pace, Trump may win Arizona, and Biden may win PA. Nevada is giving more votes to Biden, and Ga seems to be barely there.
It seems that Biden may win. President Trump just had a press conferences and put out there a lot of distrust for the election process. He mentioned a lot of things that should have been addressed a while ago, but bringing them now it is like the worst time in history, right during such an ideological divide in this country.
I'm already hearing some people on youtube and twitter saying they are ready for a civil war. Add to that, that if Biden wins, the economy is going to tank badly, as they believe that an increase in nationwide restrictions is the solution, ignoring the fact that EU already tried that and they are being hit hard with covid anyways, and their economy tanking even more.
The Western world is falling, and quickly. Add to that the fact that China, already over most of the covid, seems to be getting ahead economically at the expense of other needing supplies quickly to fight covid or to keep the economy afloat while printing money and living in isolation.
Last edited by coksiw; 11-05-2020 at 07:34 PM.
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11-05-2020, 11:30 PM
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On the road less traveled
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Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: On a mountain... somewhere
Posts: 8,369
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Re: I'll be the first to say it
Makes you wonder though, how Trump ever got elected in the first place 4 years ago. I think he caught them off guard. They probably figured Hillary had it wrapped up and they didn't think that Trump could pull it off. This time around, they pulled out all the stops, and went for every kind of election fraud they could scheme. Only this time, Trump is not backing down from the fight.
We are watching a democratic coup take place, and civil war may just be the next storm on the horizon.
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11-06-2020, 06:50 AM
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Registered Member
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Join Date: Jan 2019
Posts: 2,194
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Re: I'll be the first to say it
...and Georgia just flipped to Biden. PA on that path as well.
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