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Originally Posted by jfrog
So we are in agreement then that it was very bad in Italy?
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Again, I said "assuming the numbers are accurate and true", which is hardly a guarantee. That said, I haven't paid too much attention to Italy. I let them deal with their own situation.
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Originally Posted by jfrog
Were some overwhelmed for a short time. I think that if your honest you'll admit that fact.
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Perhaps for a time, I couldn't say for certain, but what I do know is that their statistical "models" all predicted it would be far, far worse than it was, and that was
after factoring in the whole lock down and "social distancing".
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Originally Posted by jfrog
Actually we don't know for sure if deaths are over reported or under reported. You see, the way they are counting them is bound to include some who shouldn't be included but just as importantly it's also bound to exclude some who should be included. I've yet to see anything more than speculation about which number is bigger.
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Do you really think their UNDER reporting the number of deaths? Seriously?!
Just as an aside, I have a toll bridge in the Sahara desert I'm interested in moving. Could I tempt you to buy it from me?
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Originally Posted by jfrog
Also important - when a death occurs generally there are multiple factors that led to death - referred to as comorbidity. It's naive to think that everyone who died of a heart attack or stroke or something else while having covid would have died of the same thing without having covid. Thus, at least some of those deaths you wish to discount I think should genuinely be counted - because covid directly led to the heart attack or stroke by forcing the bodies other systems to work harder to overcome the illness.
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Funny you should mention that. I highly recommend watching the video of the two doctors from California. It's a little over 51 minutes long, but well worth the watch. I even found another copy of the video, and posted the link in Esaias' thread.
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Originally Posted by jfrog
You can't say it wasn't bad in one breath and then say it wouldn't have been so bad if X didn't happen. That's some major cognitive dissonance you have going on there.
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That's not what I said. I said they would have been better off, I never said "it wouldn't have been so bad". Those do not automatically mean the same thing. You literally quoted me above your comment, and still you misrepresented what I wrote.
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In fact, NY would have been a lot better off
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If anyone is guilty of cognitive dissonance, it's you. Right after you make the claim that the hospital situation was horrible:
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Originally Posted by jfrog
that they were sharing ventalitors at some hospitals
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You then concede my point that they didn't need all the ventilators they had
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Originally Posted by jfrog
Which would be evidence that they locked down just in time.
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So which is it? Did they lock down in time, or were they overwhelmed?
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Originally Posted by jfrog
Keep in mind the goal is to show that we know the following things:
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The pandemic is highly contagious. There is no vaccine in sight. Covid 19 is fatal. The only control option is social isolation.
Easy stuff.
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I'll grant you the first two as likely true, but not the latter two. Based on the numbers of people who have been tested positive for antibodies, and yet never even knew they had it, the mortality rate is highly over stated. As such, there's no facts to support the claim that we
must socially isolate ourselves.
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Originally Posted by jfrog
Those shouldn't be controversial points. I shouldn't have to explain how bad Italy and NYC got at the worst.
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Again, I would point you to the video of the two immunologists discussing their own situation, as well as the situation in NY. Much of the same points I've been making (and have made pretty much all along) is supported by their research.