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StillStanding 10-27-2012 06:45 PM

Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney
 
The Desmoines Register, which hasn't endorsed a GOP candidate since 1972, has endorsed Romney! This could tip the balance in a battleground state.


http://www.desmoinesregister.com/front//

Walks_in_islam 10-27-2012 07:17 PM

Re: Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney
 
doesnt matter.

No Ohio or Pennsylvania (which wont happen) = no presidency. Those 6 electoral votes in Iowa wont get the job done

Quote:

Originally Posted by StillStanding (Post 1199143)
The Desmoines Register, which hasn't endorsed a GOP candidate since 1972, has endorsed Romney! This could tip the balance in a battleground state.


http://www.desmoinesregister.com/front//


StillStanding 10-27-2012 07:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Walks_in_islam (Post 1199147)
doesnt matter.

No Ohio or Pennsylvania (which wont happen) = no presidency. Those 6 electoral votes in Iowa wont get the job done

You're wrong. Romney can lose both Ohio and Pennsylvania and still win if he wins Iowa, Colorado and Wisconsin along with Florida. Romney is ahead in Colorado, ahead in Florida, even in Wisconsin and very close in Iowa. If Obama loses Ohio he's pretty much a gonner. Not so with Romney. The key state this election could be Wisconsin.

Walks_in_islam 10-27-2012 08:09 PM

Re: Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney
 
Romney is unfortunately not ahead in Wisconsin the current, today, spread is Obama +2.3 and today's investor spread is 70-30 for Obama.

I note that Co, NH, Fl, Va appear to be in the Romney column and as stated earlier it is not enough. Even including Iowa where the spread, today, is also +2.3 percentage points (investor spread is 60-40, Obama).

Quote:

Originally Posted by StillStanding (Post 1199154)
You're wrong. Romney can lose both Ohio and Pennsylvania and still win if he wins Iowa, Colorado and Wisconsin along with Florida. Romney is ahead in Colorado, ahead in Florida, even in Wisconsin and very close in Iowa. If Obama loses Ohio he's pretty much a gonner. Not so with Romney. The key state this election could be Wisconsin.


trialedbyfire 10-27-2012 08:09 PM

Re: Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by StillStanding (Post 1199154)
You're wrong. Romney can lose both Ohio and Pennsylvania and still win if he wins Iowa, Colorado and Wisconsin along with Florida. Romney is ahead in Colorado, ahead in Florida, even in Wisconsin and very close in Iowa. If Obama loses Ohio he's pretty much a gonner. Not so with Romney. The key state this election could be Wisconsin.

My gut feeling is that the election will once again come down to Florida or Ohio. Romney will get Iowa and Colorado and Obama will take Wisconsin.

Walks_in_islam 10-27-2012 08:22 PM

Re: Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney
 
Florida looks solid for Romney. Ohio is a must but stubbornly staying blue.

Quote:

Originally Posted by trialedbyfire (Post 1199156)
My gut feeling is that the election will once again come down to Florida or Ohio. Romney will get Iowa and Colorado and Obama will take Wisconsin.


trialedbyfire 10-27-2012 09:04 PM

Re: Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Walks_in_islam (Post 1199159)
Florida looks solid for Romney. Ohio is a must but stubbornly staying blue.

Well I just checked by my own admission, the only way Romney can win without Ohio is if he gets Virginia, Wisconsin, and Florida. If Obama gets Wisconsin and Ohio and Romney gets Nevada, Florida, and Virginia it's be tied at 269 each the way I broke up the states. This is all also assuming Romney get's Colorado and Obama get's New Hampshire. Ohio is BIG. But so is Nevada and Wisconsin.

Sam 10-27-2012 09:08 PM

Re: Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by trialedbyfire (Post 1199165)
Well I just checked by my own admission, the only way Romney can win without Ohio is if he gets Virginia, Wisconsin, and Florida. If Obama gets Wisconsin and Ohio and Romney gets Nevada, Florida, and Virginia it's be tied at 269 each the way I broke up the states. This is all also assuming Romney get's Colorado and Obama get's New Hampshire. Ohio is BIG. But so is Nevada and Wisconsin.

And if Romney and Obama each get 269 electoral votes
then the House of Representatives chooses the President
and the Senate chooses the Vice President

so we could have Romney as President
and Biden as Vice President

StillStanding 10-27-2012 09:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Walks_in_islam (Post 1199155)
Romney is unfortunately not ahead in Wisconsin the current, today, spread is Obama +2.3 and today's investor spread is 70-30 for Obama.

I note that Co, NH, Fl, Va appear to be in the Romney column and as stated earlier it is not enough. Even including Iowa where the spread, today, is also +2.3 percentage points (investor spread is 60-40, Obama).

Rasmussen's daily tracking poll has Wisconsin in a tie. This week's NBC/WSJ poll has Obama up by 6 points which is skewing the poll averages. If you take it out of the poll averages, Obama is leading by a razor thin margin of 1 point. I don't understand investor spread. Momentum seems to be in Romney's favor. Who really knows? The more Democratic leaning papers that endorse Romney, the more credibility that Romney gains with the undecideds.

Let's put it this way: It's anybody's ballgame! It's gonna be very close! I think Romney will win, but I could very well be wrong.

StillStanding 10-27-2012 09:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by trialedbyfire (Post 1199165)

Well I just checked by my own admission, the only way Romney can win without Ohio is if he gets Virginia, Wisconsin, and Florida. If Obama gets Wisconsin and Ohio and Romney gets Nevada, Florida, and Virginia it's be tied at 269 each the way I broke up the states. This is all also assuming Romney get's Colorado and Obama get's New Hampshire. Ohio is BIG. But so is Nevada and Wisconsin.

This is true. Florida and Virginia seem to be in Romney's camp. It all comes down to Wisconsin IF Obama wins Ohio. Romney has some work to do. Obama's team is getting nervous!


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