Quote:
Originally Posted by Newman
68% of first time marriages end in divorce? Too hard to believe. In fact; I read that even the statistic that half end in divorce isn't quite accurate because of how marriages and divorces are measured.
The rates have been measured on a yearly basis which means that there are actually more marriages from previous years that are counted if they divorce but were not counted as a marriage for that year. So the numbers are skewed... (I think I am understanding this right; but feel free to correct me).  |
Actually, the figure jumped from 50% of all first time marriages in the United States end in divorce to 68% about three years ago. The stats are higher for second marriages, but tend to level out for third marriages.
I am not sure about the skew you are talking about. I do know that since 1995, the divorce rate in Pentecostal circles, which includes trinity pentecostals as well as oneness, has dramatically increased.
I don't know enough about the current measures to knowledgably talk about the possible bias. It has been awhile since I took statistics to recall the margin of error but it looks like it would have to be pretty accurate to come out of governmental census documents.