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Old 04-18-2020, 10:54 AM
coksiw coksiw is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2019
Posts: 2,210
COVID interesting research, and possible Good News

For those that have access to WSJ, here is the article: https://www.wsj.com/articles/new-dat...nding_now_pos4

For those than can't this is the main point:

At the beginning of April, researchers tested COVID antibodies on a sample population of 3300 residents in Santa Clara county, CA.
The official number of known cases were roughly 1000 in that county, but they found that based on the sample and some statistical errors, between 2.5% to 4.2% of the county had the virus. That's 48,000 to 81,000.

What it means?
1) Dead rate is much lower than thought
2) The virus spreads very very fast and many people don't know they have it.

Other observations (mine): Because the virus spreads real fast, the critical cases can overwhelm the hospitals with critical conditions and create a dramatic situation. This is what we saw in Spain, and Italy. It seems that the ones that get bad symptoms is usually devastating and very low chance of surviving. I have never seen somebody that I have known personally or it is related to a friend, that has died of the flu. I have known many getting pneumonia because of the flu but they all make it. However, I have known personally that have died of covid, and many also related to friends. It is like if with covid you are more likely to become critical or not making it once you get pneumonia.

The good news (this is my conclusion also): herd immunity is then underway, and the virus may not come in winter as badly as people expect it.

Also this research may help gov't to justify publicly the easing of lockdown going forward.

I want to conclude this post reiterating that God is still in control of every single saints life. He won't stop having mercy and giving strengths to those that trust in him .

Last edited by coksiw; 04-18-2020 at 11:25 AM.
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