I suspect most of us have been taking crunch courses on the economy in the last few days.
terms like Sub Prime Mortgagas, Community Reinvestment Act, Glass Stegall and Graham-Leach-Bliley Act, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Mortgage Backed Secruities are all terms that most had not even heard of before a month ago.
Now they are household words and we all know what they mean (or at least we better)
BUT there is a new term rising over the horizon that we better get an understanding of because if this economy really goes south, it will not be because of the above, it will be because of a little thing called a Credit Default Swap.
Basically it is an insurance policy offered to a company that holds a debt. If the debtor defaults, the insurance policy (Credit Default Swap) pays the lean holder.
The kicker is, CDSs are traded like commodities and nobody really knows if the person holding the CDC can actually pay the insurance benifit to a lean holder if a debtor defaults..... and now for the kick in the pants.... it is a 67 TRILLION DOLLAR MARKET.
This is why I have been saying the US is basically bankrupt.
No way under God's green Earth that the US debt will ever be repaid.
One way out may be the Eur....oooppps, the Amero.
I ain't in favour of that either.
Ron, dont mix metiponrs... this isnt about U. S. Debt.
This is about private debt all over the world. you might have a US institution playing the roll of insurer for a European institution who is playing the roll of insurer of an Asian institution who is playing the roll of insurer of that first Amreican institution.
and nobody really knows if any of these insurers can pay if the insured calls on the insurance.
__________________ If I do something stupid blame the Lortab!
Ron, dont mix metiponrs... this isnt about U. S. Debt.
This is about private debt all over the world. you might have a US institution playing the roll of insurer for a European institution who is playing the roll of insurer of an Asian institution who is playing the roll of insurer of that first Amreican institution.
and nobody really knows if any of these insurers can pay if the insured calls on the insurance.
Exactly...the global economy.
BTW does anyone know about all the billions of dollars in US bonds the Saudi Princes own and China has been buying. We are in deep trouble if they turn them in
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BTW does anyone know about all the billions of dollars in US bonds the Saudi Princes own and China has been buying. We are in deep trouble if they turn them in
or not. maybe they would be in deep trouble if we just looked them in the eyeball and said, we aint paying.
__________________ If I do something stupid blame the Lortab!
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