GOP Candidates 2016

[n david]

The newest ABC Poll has Trump on top with 24%. It should be noted, this poll was mostly conducted before Trump's statement against McCain, and the pollsters noted a significant drop the final day of the poll.

The ABC/WashPo Poll 7/16-19:
Trump - 24%
Walker - 13%
Bush - 12%
Huckabee - 8%
Rubio - 7%
Carson - 6%
Paul - 6%
Cruz - 4%

FoxNews Poll 7/13-15:
Trump - 18%
Walker - 15%
Bush - 14%
Paul - 8%
Rubio - 7%
Carson - 6%
Cruz - 4%

Monmouth University Poll 7/9-12:
Bush - 15%
Trump - 13%
Cruz - 9%
Huckabee - 7%
Walker - 7%
Carson - 6%
Paul - 6%
Rubio - 6%

PollingReport

RealClearPolitics Poll 7/9-19:
Trump - 18%
Bush - 13%
Walker - 10%
Rubio - 6%
Paul - 6%
Huckabee - 6%
Cruz - 6%

RCP Poll

[n david]

Thus far, if the debate threshold remains at a candidate having to poll at 10% and if these numbers hold, the debates will only have three candidates: Trump, Bush and Walker.

[Pressing-On]

Originally Posted by n david

Thus far, if the debate threshold remains at a candidate having to poll at 10% and if these numbers hold, the debates will only have three candidates: Trump, Bush and Walker.

The polling will reflect who they want on the stage. Ted Cruz has raised more hard money than the other candidates. $14.3 to Jeb's $11.4. Ted will be on the stage.

[Pressing-On]

And the polling that got it wrong for Greece, Britain, Israel, etc.

[n david]

Originally Posted by Pressing-On

And the polling that got it wrong for Greece, Britain, Israel, etc.

I agree that polls get it wrong. A lot. IIRC, the polls had Romney winning in a landslide against obama.

The only problem is this will be the first year the polls will have a significant impact on the debates. Even if the polls are wrong, if the debates only allows those polling at 10% or more, Cruz, Paul and others are out. Hard to conduct a campaign, let alone win a race when your kept in the background and out of the debates.

I understand the GOP doesn't want another year like 2012, where there were 20 candidates on stage, but I don't like this.

[Pressing-On]

Originally Posted by n david

I agree that polls get it wrong. A lot. IIRC, the polls had Romney winning in a landslide against obama.

The only problem is this will be the first year the polls will have a significant impact on the debates. Even if the polls are wrong, if the debates only allows those polling at 10% or more, Cruz, Paul and others are out. Hard to conduct a campaign, let alone win a race when your kept in the background and out of the debates.

I understand the GOP doesn't want another year like 2012, where there were 20 candidates on stage, but I don't like this.

Fox News (capping out at 10 candidates) is determining the top 10 on the debate stage as those listed in the top 5 polls. All those listed in your polls are going to be the top 10.

It is worse than 2012. I see hardly any support for Jeb Bush, yet the polling has him on top.

[n david]

Originally Posted by Pressing-On

Fox News (capping out at 10 candidates) is determining the top 10 on the debate stage as those listed in the top 5 polls. All those listed in your polls are going to be the top 10.

It is worse than 2012. I see hardly any support for Jeb Bush, yet the polling has him on top.

Oh, okay. I misunderstood. I thought it was those polling over 10%. This is better then, although 10 candidates are a lot to have on one stage.

[Pressing-On]

Originally Posted by n david

Oh, okay. I misunderstood. I thought it was those polling over 10%. This is better then, although 10 candidates are a lot to have on one stage.

Yes, it is a lot. It is quite a diverse group. The Dems have only white, rich people. Aren't they a gas after framing the narrative that the GOP is full of old, white racists?

[Esaias]

Debates? When was the last time we had a genuine presidential debate? An actual debate, I mean, not a series of one-offs and sound bite advertisements (pronounced the British way, ad-VER-tuz-munts)?

[Scott Pitta]

I think Walker is too far right of center for the average American voter.

I still have no idea who I will vote for.