Quote:
Originally Posted by deacon blues
Yes but we are not talking about hundreds of years of approval rating polls. Approval rating polls have only been around since modern times. We are talking about 20 presidential elections going back to Hoover. I don't know when approval rating polls started, but statistically, ALWAYS, when talking about 20 of anything, isn't as certain as it sounds.
And if there has been an election that is unique in all of American history, it is this one. A lot of the conventional wisdom is off the table with an African American leading the ticket in one party and a woman on the ticker in another.
The GOP convention went a LONG way to distance McCain from Bush. Hurricane Gustav could not have come at a better time. It became a convenient excuse to not have Cheney speak or Bush present. I don't think Obama has been successful or will be at protraying McCain as the Third Incarnation of President Bush. McCain has opposed Bush and the GOP enough to make the argument that he is not cut from the same cloth.
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Your lips to Gods ears....
Just trying to keep this thing centered.
have you looked at the Electoral Maps? McCain has more work to do in Red states than Obama has to do in Blue states. That gives Obama the edge.
we really could lose Virginia, Ohio, Colorado, Nevada.
the only thing I think we can pick up (and it is a way outside chance) is Michigan.
that adds up to good news for Obama.
Bro, McCain is still a long shot..... and Rassmussen only has McCain up by 1 point.