Obama Is Going to Lose

[deacon blues]

Originally Posted by Ferd

dont get too excited yet. remember GWB has a very very very low approval rating.

regardless of any other fact or statistic, when the sitting president has a low approval rating, the presidency has ALWAYS been passed to the other party.

there is no reason for Obama to lose unless he provides one. As of yet, he has not provided a reason.

Yes but we are not talking about hundreds of years of approval rating polls. Approval rating polls have only been around since modern times. We are talking about 20 presidential elections going back to Hoover. I don't know when approval rating polls started, but statistically, ALWAYS, when talking about 20 of anything, isn't as certain as it sounds.

And if there has been an election that is unique in all of American history, it is this one. A lot of the conventional wisdom is off the table with an African American leading the ticket in one party and a woman on the ticker in another.

The GOP convention went a LONG way to distance McCain from Bush. Hurricane Gustav could not have come at a better time. It became a convenient excuse to not have Cheney speak or Bush present. I don't think Obama has been successful or will be at protraying McCain as the Third Incarnation of President Bush. McCain has opposed Bush and the GOP enough to make the argument that he is not cut from the same cloth.