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  #1  
Old 10-27-2012, 06:45 PM
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Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney

The Desmoines Register, which hasn't endorsed a GOP candidate since 1972, has endorsed Romney! This could tip the balance in a battleground state.


http://www.desmoinesregister.com/front//
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Old 10-27-2012, 07:17 PM
Walks_in_islam Walks_in_islam is offline
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Re: Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney

doesnt matter.

No Ohio or Pennsylvania (which wont happen) = no presidency. Those 6 electoral votes in Iowa wont get the job done

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Originally Posted by StillStanding View Post
The Desmoines Register, which hasn't endorsed a GOP candidate since 1972, has endorsed Romney! This could tip the balance in a battleground state.


http://www.desmoinesregister.com/front//
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Old 10-27-2012, 07:56 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Walks_in_islam View Post
doesnt matter.

No Ohio or Pennsylvania (which wont happen) = no presidency. Those 6 electoral votes in Iowa wont get the job done
You're wrong. Romney can lose both Ohio and Pennsylvania and still win if he wins Iowa, Colorado and Wisconsin along with Florida. Romney is ahead in Colorado, ahead in Florida, even in Wisconsin and very close in Iowa. If Obama loses Ohio he's pretty much a gonner. Not so with Romney. The key state this election could be Wisconsin.
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Old 10-27-2012, 08:09 PM
Walks_in_islam Walks_in_islam is offline
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Re: Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney

Romney is unfortunately not ahead in Wisconsin the current, today, spread is Obama +2.3 and today's investor spread is 70-30 for Obama.

I note that Co, NH, Fl, Va appear to be in the Romney column and as stated earlier it is not enough. Even including Iowa where the spread, today, is also +2.3 percentage points (investor spread is 60-40, Obama).

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Originally Posted by StillStanding View Post
You're wrong. Romney can lose both Ohio and Pennsylvania and still win if he wins Iowa, Colorado and Wisconsin along with Florida. Romney is ahead in Colorado, ahead in Florida, even in Wisconsin and very close in Iowa. If Obama loses Ohio he's pretty much a gonner. Not so with Romney. The key state this election could be Wisconsin.

Last edited by Walks_in_islam; 10-27-2012 at 08:22 PM.
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Old 10-27-2012, 09:08 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Walks_in_islam View Post
Romney is unfortunately not ahead in Wisconsin the current, today, spread is Obama +2.3 and today's investor spread is 70-30 for Obama.

I note that Co, NH, Fl, Va appear to be in the Romney column and as stated earlier it is not enough. Even including Iowa where the spread, today, is also +2.3 percentage points (investor spread is 60-40, Obama).
Rasmussen's daily tracking poll has Wisconsin in a tie. This week's NBC/WSJ poll has Obama up by 6 points which is skewing the poll averages. If you take it out of the poll averages, Obama is leading by a razor thin margin of 1 point. I don't understand investor spread. Momentum seems to be in Romney's favor. Who really knows? The more Democratic leaning papers that endorse Romney, the more credibility that Romney gains with the undecideds.

Let's put it this way: It's anybody's ballgame! It's gonna be very close! I think Romney will win, but I could very well be wrong.
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Old 10-27-2012, 08:09 PM
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Re: Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney

Quote:
Originally Posted by StillStanding View Post
You're wrong. Romney can lose both Ohio and Pennsylvania and still win if he wins Iowa, Colorado and Wisconsin along with Florida. Romney is ahead in Colorado, ahead in Florida, even in Wisconsin and very close in Iowa. If Obama loses Ohio he's pretty much a gonner. Not so with Romney. The key state this election could be Wisconsin.
My gut feeling is that the election will once again come down to Florida or Ohio. Romney will get Iowa and Colorado and Obama will take Wisconsin.
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Old 10-27-2012, 08:22 PM
Walks_in_islam Walks_in_islam is offline
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Re: Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney

Florida looks solid for Romney. Ohio is a must but stubbornly staying blue.

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My gut feeling is that the election will once again come down to Florida or Ohio. Romney will get Iowa and Colorado and Obama will take Wisconsin.
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Old 10-27-2012, 09:04 PM
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Re: Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney

Quote:
Originally Posted by Walks_in_islam View Post
Florida looks solid for Romney. Ohio is a must but stubbornly staying blue.
Well I just checked by my own admission, the only way Romney can win without Ohio is if he gets Virginia, Wisconsin, and Florida. If Obama gets Wisconsin and Ohio and Romney gets Nevada, Florida, and Virginia it's be tied at 269 each the way I broke up the states. This is all also assuming Romney get's Colorado and Obama get's New Hampshire. Ohio is BIG. But so is Nevada and Wisconsin.
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Old 10-28-2012, 07:46 AM
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Re: Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney

Quote:
Originally Posted by Walks_in_islam View Post
Florida looks solid for Romney. Ohio is a must but stubbornly staying blue.
Gap may be closing. A poll released today showed both R and O tied at 49% in Ohio.

I am hoping that in the states where Obama is a point or two ahead in polling he will lose that due to the "enthusiasm gap" in regards to actual turnout to vote. It could be wishful thinking but I can hope!
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Old 10-28-2012, 05:06 AM
Walks_in_islam Walks_in_islam is offline
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Re: Iowa Newspaper Endorses Romney

Investor's spread:

http://www.intrade.com/v4/misc/electoral-map/. Noted with concern is NH switch from red to tossup to blue over the last 3 days.

They nailed the last election but failed only to predict that splitting of a (single) electoral vote

Closest to following polls and usually 24-36 hours behind the investors:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo..._toss_ups.html

Appears to follow RCP by a day or two:

http://www.electionprojection.com/20...resident12.php

NOTE: The chances of Nevada switching to red from blue are zilch to nil LOL

Last edited by Walks_in_islam; 10-28-2012 at 05:10 AM.
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