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Originally Posted by n david
Interesting. I would think the last two stages could also pose an issue for Cruz as well. The GOP establishment doesn't like him, so they may do what they could to make sure their candidate (Bush or Walker) get the nomination instead.
IF, and it's a big IF, Trump's poll numbers hold true and he does well in the opening primaries and the GOP establishment signals it will not allow him to win the nomination, I could see Trump leaving the GOP race to form a 3rd party campaign.
However, if Silver's research holds that these poll numbers mean nothing this early, and Trump loses big in Iowa and NH, I could see him withdrawing early and not forming a 3rd party campaign.
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Exactly! The same issue will also go with Cruz, who we know the Establishment hates. Totally agree on the rest of your assessment.
My hurrah for Trump is if he, with his own arrogancy, can take some of the arrogant power from the media and both parties. Social media is driving this past the media and political parties. I do like that.
I've listened to some lengthy interviews by him from 20 and 25 years ago. The startling thing, regardless of people talking about his vacillating on issues, he has been consistent about politics and the economy, i.e. how these things affect America. And strangely enough, he has made a clarion call, like on china, etc, which we are seeing today. On those aspects, I don't have a huge problem with the guy. I would only need to see every policy detail and every cabinet member he has chosen.
When he and Ivana split up, he left her managing one of his hotels because she was already doing the managing, doing a great job and was the mother of his children. He isn't the heartless person the media tries to paint him as.