Quote:
Originally Posted by KeptByTheWord
Things are reaching a bit of a hysteria point where I live. Store shelves are empty of any antibacterial cleaning agents. People are being told to stay home from hospitals/ER/urgent care facilities if they have a cough unless they are in urgent condition. Hospitals are setting up outdoor triage tents outside their facilties. Whether this is abundance of precaution, or real concern it is hard to know. Meanwhile... we are continuing on with life as usual.
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The threat is not exaggerated. It is starting to look a lot like the Spanish flu.
I don't think people shouldn't panic but they shouldn't play it down either.
We just need to be realistic and also trust the Lord that he can do a miracle to keep you away from its effects.
Here:
https://graphics.reuters.com/CHINA-H...39E/index.html
Out of 93,075 cases as of today globally:
There are 39,472 cases that we don't know the outcome yet.
There are 53,603 cases that we do know the outcome: 3,204 died, the rest made it through.
That's roughly 6% global death rate.
If you go outside China:
* Italy: 160 recovered, 79 died = 33% death rate (seems like a low quantity to be stats significant, though)
* South Korean: 41 recovered, 32 died = 41% death rate (too small quantity to be stats significant yet)
* Iran: 291 recovered, 77 died = 20% death rate
All those numbers, especially the ones outside china, would make it more clear in one month.
The Spanish flu had a death rate of 5%-35% depending on the area, and it ability to transmit was brutal, like this one.
The common flu has a death rate of less than 1%.