Quote:
Originally Posted by Esaias
S Korea reporting actual mortality rate less than 1%. They have the highest test rate so their numbers make more sense to me.
Reporting in the US is a total joke and might as well be nonexistent.
There is a 5G component to all this as well, and the push for vaccines. Not to mention the outliers of China, Iran, and Italy.
China is the #1 place to die from TB. Iran is a target and they have a disproportionate number of government leaders infected. Italy? Remember last year I reported how they discovered the MMR vaccine had no actual vaccine but did have a complete human genome in it? So Italy was about to say no to vaccines and well that's been taken care of now....
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Those mortality rate numbers are meant to keep people calm.
These are the hard numbers: 16% of people that get the virus with symptoms do have at least serious illness. 95% of the people with the serious illness die, and 99% of people with the critical illness die.
The death rate is around 15%.
A more accurate rate is the outcome:
died / (recovered + died)
The pending cases are not relevant to the death rate, but somehow, the media and govt includes them to water down the actual rate.
Now, I know that outcome rate is not perfect because of the timing of infection but it is more accurate than died / total sick.
S Korea:
Cases=6,593; Recovered=135; Died=42.
Rate looking only to the outcome: 42/(135+42) = 23%.
The weakness in this method is that the numbers are not large enough to be significant. The global rate, which has larger numbers is ~5%
I would say the best rate so far is 15%, based on probability of making it after getting into a serious condition.