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Old 03-06-2020, 04:43 PM
coksiw coksiw is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2019
Posts: 2,210
Re: Coronavirus contains HIV genes

Quote:
Originally Posted by Esaias View Post
S Korea reporting actual mortality rate less than 1%. They have the highest test rate so their numbers make more sense to me.

Reporting in the US is a total joke and might as well be nonexistent.

There is a 5G component to all this as well, and the push for vaccines. Not to mention the outliers of China, Iran, and Italy.

China is the #1 place to die from TB. Iran is a target and they have a disproportionate number of government leaders infected. Italy? Remember last year I reported how they discovered the MMR vaccine had no actual vaccine but did have a complete human genome in it? So Italy was about to say no to vaccines and well that's been taken care of now....
Those mortality rate numbers are meant to keep people calm.

These are the hard numbers: 16% of people that get the virus with symptoms do have at least serious illness. 95% of the people with the serious illness die, and 99% of people with the critical illness die.
The death rate is around 15%.

A more accurate rate is the outcome:

died / (recovered + died)

The pending cases are not relevant to the death rate, but somehow, the media and govt includes them to water down the actual rate.

Now, I know that outcome rate is not perfect because of the timing of infection but it is more accurate than died / total sick.

S Korea:

Cases=6,593; Recovered=135; Died=42.
Rate looking only to the outcome: 42/(135+42) = 23%.

The weakness in this method is that the numbers are not large enough to be significant. The global rate, which has larger numbers is ~5%

I would say the best rate so far is 15%, based on probability of making it after getting into a serious condition.

Last edited by coksiw; 03-06-2020 at 04:46 PM.
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