Quote:
Originally Posted by deacon blues
Okay d4t, let's say this text message poll is a scientific poll for the sake of argument............
How do you address the disparity between the large number of polls that have RP at 1-2% and all of the sudden this WOOOOOSH giant leap to 33% with the closest competitor being Huckabee at 18%?
I don't know about you, but that seems kind of odd.
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Well... instead of just looking at the various internet polls why don't we look at actual straw polls. These are actual votes taken with actual registered Republicans with a verified one vote per person vote.
The forum doesn't translate polls very well but you can see the actual table by clicking
here.
But... even though the forum doesn't translate tables well the info below is not unduly hard to read.
The info is as follows.
The location, the date, what place he came in and then the percentage of the vote he commanded.
In 20 of the 23 straw polls he was in the top 4
In 17 of the 23 straw polls he was in the top 3.
In 13 of the 23 straw polls he was in the top 2.
In 9 of the 23 straw polls he won.
South Dakota Straw Poll 9/3/2007 6 8 %
Maryland Straw Poll 9/3/2007 1 27.3%
Texas Straw Poll 9/1/2007 3 16.7 %
Allegheny County, Pennsylvania 8/26/2007 1 45.2 %
DeKalb County, Georgia Straw Poll 8/25/2007 1 24 %
HRCC (Minnesota) 8/22/2007 3 16.0%
Ronald Reagan Club (Washington) 8/21/2007 1 28.0%
West Alabama 8/18/2007 1 81.2%
Strafford County, NH 8/18/2007 1 72.2%
West Lafayette, Indiana 8/18/2007 4 11.7%
Illinois State Fair 8/17/2007 3 18.9%
Students for Life of America 8/16/2007 4 9.0%
Western Montana Fair 8/15/2007 6 4.0%
Gaston County, NC 8/14/2007 1 36.6%
Ames, Iowa 8/11/2007 5 9.1%
(NFRA), St. Louis, MO 8/6/2007 3 14.0%
FreedomWorks Straw Poll 8/3/2007 1 56 %
Georgetown County, SC 7/28/2007 2 17.9%
New Hampshire Taxpayers 7/7/2007 1 65.3%
Cobb County, GA 7/4/2007 2 17.0%
California Republican Assembly 7/1/2007 4 12.0%
National Taxpayers Union 6/16/2007 2 16.7%
Utah GOP convention 6/8/2007 2 5.4%
His head to head records against the various candidates are as follows.
Ron Paul's Head-to-Head Records (Win-Lose-Tie):
Rudy Giuliani 20-3-0
Mitt Romney 13-10-0
Fred Thompson 10-12-0
John McCain 20-2-0
Mike Huckabee 19-2-1
Sam Brownback 19-2-1
Tom Tancredo 20-1-0
Duncan Hunter 19-2-0