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  #11  
Old 02-06-2009, 07:52 AM
mizpeh mizpeh is offline
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Re: Depression?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Digging4Truth View Post
It is funny how when more and more people lose their jobs and more and more major companies close their doors while the price of basic living continues to rise and rise that people just keep on complaining and being obsessed with the subject.

People should use their new found extra time to talk about how good things are getting.

After reading these clever, insightful responses, I thought to myself "WHAT WAS I THINKING?"

And then I googled for a definition!

Depression
Before the Great Depression of the 1930s any downturn in economic activity was referred to as a depression. The term recession was developed in this period to differentiate periods like the 1930s from smaller economic declines that occurred in 1910 and 1913. This leads to the simple definition of a depression as a recession that lasts longer and has a larger decline in business activity.

The Difference
So how can we tell the difference between a recession and a depression? A good rule of thumb for determining the difference between a recession and a depression is to look at the changes in GNP. A depression is any economic downturn where real GDP declines by more than 10 percent. A recession is an economic downturn that is less severe.
By this yardstick, the last depression in the United States was from May 1937 to June 1938, where real GDP declined by 18.2 percent. If we use this method then the Great Depression of the 1930s can be seen as two separate events: an incredibly severe depression lasting from August 1929 to March 1933 where real GDP declined by almost 33 percent, a period of recovery, then another less severe depression of 1937-38. The United States hasn’t had anything even close to a depression in the post-war period. The worst recession in the last 60 years was from November 1973 to March 1975, where real GDP fell by 4.9 percent. Countries such as Finland and Indonesia have suffered depressions in recent memory using this definition.

Now you should be able to determine the difference between a recession and a depression without resorting to the poor humor of the dismal scientists.

http://economics.about.com/cs/busine...ressions_2.htm
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  #12  
Old 02-06-2009, 10:26 AM
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Re: Depression?

So does anyone know how much the GDP has fallen recently?
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  #13  
Old 02-06-2009, 10:32 AM
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Re: Depression?

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Originally Posted by *AQuietPlace* View Post
So does anyone know how much the GDP has fallen recently?
As of January 30th.... 3.8%

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-f...,4565464.story
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  #14  
Old 02-06-2009, 10:33 AM
mizpeh mizpeh is offline
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Re: Depression?

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Originally Posted by Digging4Truth View Post
Well that puts things in perspective somewhat.
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His banner over me is LOVE.... My soul followeth hard after thee....Love one another with a pure heart fervently. Jesus saith unto her, Said I not unto thee, that, if thou wouldest believe, thou shouldest see the glory of God?

To be a servant of God, it will cost us our total commitment to God, and God alone. His burden must be our burden... Sis Alvear
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  #15  
Old 02-06-2009, 10:40 AM
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Re: Depression?

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Originally Posted by mizpeh View Post
When does a recession officially become a depression? Does it have to do with the unemployment rate?
A recession is when you lose your job.
A depression is when I lose my mine.
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  #16  
Old 02-06-2009, 10:44 AM
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Re: Depression?

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Originally Posted by RevDWW View Post
A recession is when you lose your job.
A depression is when I lose my mine.
That is pretty much the case there bro...

It is unfortunate.... but that is pretty much the case.
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  #17  
Old 02-06-2009, 10:48 AM
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Re: Depression?

Seriously, is a sharp decline the only indicator that a nation is in a depression?

My gut (and much of what I observe) tells me it's going to get a lot worse before it gets better.
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  #18  
Old 02-06-2009, 10:52 AM
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Re: Depression?

Quote:
Originally Posted by RevDWW View Post
Seriously, is a sharp decline the only indicator that a nation is in a depression?

My gut (and much of what I observe) tells me it's going to get a lot worse before it gets better.
Sounds like your gut is on the money.
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  #19  
Old 02-06-2009, 01:33 PM
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Re: Depression?

Quote:
Originally Posted by RandyWayne View Post
I think there are enough people here who take a certain gleeful delight in proclaiming that the END is here.
As far me, I would much rather just stick my head in the sand and deny everything while the doomers and gloomers run around pulling their money out of stocks and bonds, converting to gold and silver, paying off credit card debts, etc., etc.. Silly them. Such fools. It's just so much more comfortable with my head in the sand denying everything.

Wake me up in the morning.
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  #20  
Old 02-06-2009, 01:37 PM
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ILG ILG is offline
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Re: Depression?

Quote:
Originally Posted by RevDWW View Post
Seriously, is a sharp decline the only indicator that a nation is in a depression?

My gut (and much of what I observe) tells me it's going to get a lot worse before it gets better.
Yeah, I've never seen anything quite like this....
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