Let's see how this pans out, for curiosity's sake as well.
Countdown: 3 days until election day and Obama still appears to be the clear winner with overwhelming odds against a Romney victory.
Keep in mind that numbers and money could be moving tomorrow. This is just a projection from today.
However, since yesterday Romney has gained a little momentum forcing the state of Colorado back into the toss-up category thereby reducing Obama's electoral votes by 9. Therefore, Colorado and Virginia are the only two remaining toss-up states and Obama still leads in both states but by less than a 10% margin.
As an example of how difficult it will be for Romney to achieve victory, even if Romney pulls off a miracle and wins both of the toss-up states of Colorado and Virginia that will only increase his electoral votes by 22 (9 and 13 respectively) which will still leave Romney 13 electoral votes shy of the 270 necessary to win the election thereby ensuring Obama's re-election with 281 electoral votes.
Currently the most accurate/predictive, unbiased, poll in the world, Intrade, is predicting:
1) Obama should win at least 5 of 9 swing states: Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Wisconsin
2) Romney should win t least 2 of 9 swing states: Florida and North Carolina
3) Obama leads in the only two remaining toss-up (under 10% lead) swing states Colorado and Virginia and therefore should win both of those states with an outside chance that Romney could mount a come from behind victory in one or both states
4) Democrats should maintain control of the Senate
5) Republicans should maintain control of the House
6) Obama will win re-election with 281-303 electoral college votes
7) Romney will lose election with 235-257 electoral college votes
8) Winner of electoral college will also win the popular vote
9) 65.2% (+/-) chance Obama will win re-election
10) 35.7% (+/-) chance Romney will win election
http://www.intrade.com/v4/misc/electoral-map/
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