Official Presidential Election Prediction Thread<<

[Ferd]

My one hope for a Romney win rests in the disparity in Ohio between democrat early voting 4 years ago and this year.

Based on the those numbers, it looks like almost all of the 250K vote win Obama had is gone.

What lead the dems have in early voting is nowhere near large enough to make up the lead Republicans historically have on voter turnout on election day itself.

That basically means Ohio is a dead heat with voter enthusiasm higher on the republican side.

That said, dems still hold an good edge in early voting there so they might be able to squeek out an Ohio victory.

PA is an interesting story to me. It has been fools gold for Republicans for the last 4 election cycles. always tightening late, then breaking Left. So thinking it can go to the republicans is against the grain. That being said, the polls show movement toward the R side in a greater way than any of the previous 4 cycles. maybe they have been flirting and now they might go that way?

my opinion (as others have said) PA may be an early bellweather. if that state goes R it will be a long night for Obama. If it is a very close race, then Ohio still looks good for Romney.

gonna be a long night tomorrow night.